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August 2020

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Thomas Babington Macaulay must be turning in his grave wondering what had he wrought.

After East India Company had conquered India and was in full control of India san Punjab in 1830s, he set out to educate a class of Indians who will be intermediary between the British and the Indian masses and will help them rule. They will be fluent in English and accept British as a superior race but will be seen by masses as part of them.

British never had the numbers needed to rule directly. At the height of British Raj, there were fewer that 100,000 English men, women and children in India. There were less than 10,000 of them in the army of almost 200,000.

Macaulay’s children were quick studies. They were not happy being clerks. They went on to become engineers, doctors and scientists. Within 50 years, they had started Indian National Congress as a national movement.

Macualay’s children have turned out to be very aspirational. They out-argued British out of India, gave India constitution and built a well functioning democracy.

As they moved on to the world stage they constitute 10% of all the business and science/engineering professors in US and almost 14% doctors. They are emerging as CEOs in top corporations. One of them may even become a VP of US.

I know the Saffron crowd detests Macaulay’s children but they are just being ungrateful.

Today is India’s 73rd independence day. I will be 75 in 2 weeks. So my life spans independent India’s life.
India is unbelievingly diverse. As a matter of fact it is an amalgmation of amost 30 sub-nationalities. It has 30 major languages. It is roughly 80% Hindu, 15% Muslim and remaining being Sikhs, Christians and other sundry religions. Neither Hindu nor Muslim polulation is homogeneous.
It has several complex layers of histories. Most recent being the British rule for almost 200 years. It was preceded by Muslim rule for almost 800 years. Northwest India was ruled by Sikhs for almost 100 years while central India was ruled by Marathas for almost 100 years.
It has developed a unique syncretic culture which is a mixture of all these components. An India without British and Muslim influence would look like Nepal; and one without British and Hindu influence would look like Afghanistan. British provided a pan-India standardization of sort with English language and British common law. I have travelled widely in India and have felt at home almost everywhere, even where I did not understand local language or was not able to read any signs.
Britain had been a rapacious imperial power and had left India bone poor at the time of indepenedence, with its share of the global GDP less 1%, thought it had almost 16% of world’s population. Literacy rate was about 10%.
Inspite of all that India chose to be a democracy with universal sufferage. Almost nobody gave it a chance to stay free and democratic. It was called a functioning anarchy by US Ambassador Kenneth Galbraith.
India has surprized everybody by becoming a cohesive, well-functioning nation with a unique and vibrant culture. It has brought literacy rate to well over 80% and its share of the world GDP is 2.5% now. It is well on its way to become a power to reckon with.
In every respect India is a noble experiment. It has striven to process its diversity as positively as can be imagined. It has stumbled a couple of times but has always gotten back on its feet. Other multinational countries like Yogoslavia and Soviet Union were not able to integrate their diveristy politically and fell apart.

I am not a epidemiologist. As a EE, my expertise is physics and math. So I am using the facts as put out by CDC and other experts. There are two elements to the spread of virus: exposure and transmission.


Here are some facts:
It takes 15 minutes of exposure in close proximity of an infected person to catch virus with 100% certainity. Half the time cuts the chances to half.
Distance and barriers make transmission harder.Six feet of distance from a sick person reduces the chance of catching virus by 95%. Half the distance quadruples the chances.
Barriers reduce the chances depending on the effectiveness of the barrier. a N95 mask cuts the chances by 95%. An ordinary surgical mask is 80% effective; a home made 3 layer cloth mask is bout 60% effective.
Positivity rate in random testing tells us the chances of running into an infected person; 10% positivity rate ( the current rate in California) says that only one in ten random people we get in contact is likely to be infected.


Given those facts, if we wear a home made mask and come within 3 feet of a stranger who is not wearing a mask and linger for one minute only; our chances of catching virus is is only .0467%, that is less than 1 in 2000. If stranger is also wearing a mask, the chances are reduced further 65% and are now .0163%.If social distance is increased to six feet, chances are further reduced by 75% and are now dow. That is down to .004% or one chance in 25,000.


Given that, if we test and eliminate the infected people, we should be able to open schools and businesses with very little risk.

If positivity rate is 1% as we have in New York now, all we will have to do is make everybody wear a mask and maintain 3 feet distance to open the schools and businesses with little risk.

We live with those kind of risks currently when we drive.

It is not only Hari Singh Nalwa but also Maharaja Ranjit Singh who never got due respect.

Afghans had ruled India except for the Mughal period. Mohmed Ghouri, Sher Shah Suri and Ibrahim Lodi conqured and ruled India. Babar had defeated Ibrahim Lodi, an Afghan in the first bettle of Panipat in 1526 to start Mughal dynasty. Later, Nadir Shah ( Iranian/Afghan) and Ahmed Shah Abdali defeated Mughals and in case Of Abdali also Marathas in the third battle of Panipat.

Traditional border between India and Afghanistan was Indus river. Maharaja Ranjit Singh consolidated Sikh Misls into a Sikh empire and spent 40 years ejecting Afghans out of Punjab. He pushed the border to the other side of Khyber Pass. Hari Singh Nalwa was the general who led the charge. Kashmir, Peshawar, Gilgit and many other areas of NW Punjab were all wrested away from Afghans. He sealed the Khyber Pass as the invasion route to India.

It was the English who enjoyed the fruits of Hari Singh’s and Ranjit Singh’s labor